KETK interviews Dr. Bill Gray about hurricanes and global warming
POSTED: Tuesday, December 13, 2011 - 10:14pm
UPDATED: Tuesday, January 24, 2012 - 5:54pm
TYLER — Colorado State University's hurricane prediction team made up of Dr. William Gray and Phil Klotzbach recently announced they won't be predicting the number of hurricanes we'll get as early as December -- like they have for many years.
They say it's just too hard to predict something like that so early.
KETK's chief meteorologist Scott Chesner agrees.
"Predicting the weather in the long range is an impossible feat the farther out in time you go, its just another reason why especially in terms of trying to predict man's influence on the climate -- totally preposterous!" Chesner said.
Dr. Gray himself has always been very vocal against the notion of man-made global warming.
But he says that's not exactly what their change in forecast style is about.
"It's just, we haven't shown in real practice, skill with it. So we said 'gee if we've tried it 20 years without skill, we'd be lying to the public to put out specific numbers.'"
Dr. Gray tells KETK, contrary to reports circulated by a Canadian newspaper, they will begin making qualitative predictions in December and will still do their other 3 forecasts later in the year that predict the number of storms.
"They misinterpreted it, they were kind of said we're giving up the...throwing in the towel, that isn't right," Gray said.
On a side note, Dr. Gray says that no data points to global warming having any effect on hurricane activity.
The weather expert says he doesn't believe global warming is really coming -- and in the last decade or so he says data shows the earth has actually cooled.
"I'm making a prediction that 100 years from now when the history books are written, Al Gore's gonna wind up halfway between Aaron Burr and Benedict Arnold," Gray said.
Dr. Gray and Dr. Klotzbach's new December report that looks at how severe the season will be is available for viewing.