Lies, damn lies and statistics
POSTED: Friday, April 25, 2014 - 5:34pm
UPDATED: Tuesday, May 27, 2014 - 3:40pm
Tyler (KETK) — We are entering the summer before the midterm elections. And before long, the political ads will be flying through the air as thick as mosquitoes in Houston.
No matter what side of the political fence you are on, you know Obamacare is a political hot potato. All the liberal elites in safe seats or non-politicians, including the president, have been urging Democratic candidates to lean into Obamacare and run on it.
We know some senators in red states like Mary Landrieu in Louisiana and Mark Pryor are in trouble. They voted for Obamacare and now are tap dancing around the subject.
Enter the New York Tmes to provide political cover and help. Bill Kristol uncovers this in this weeks Weekly Standard.
Kristol writes the Arkansas Senate race has been close in virtually every serious poll. The Republican challenger, Tom Cotton, probably had a small lead a month or so ago; after a massive negative assault on him by Harry Reid's Super PAC, the Democratic incumbent, Mark Pryor, is probably now ahead by a point or two. That's the story told by every reputable public and private poll, including, I'm told, polls by both campaigns.
So what's up with the New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation poll released today showing Pryor up by 10 points?
The Times and Kaiser have produced a sample in Arkansas that reports they voted in 2012 for Romney over Obama by one point. But Romney carried Arkansas in 2012 by 24 points. Similarly, the Kentucky sample is +3 Romney when reality was +23. The Louisiana sample is +3 Obama in a state Obama lost by 17, and the North Carolina sample is +7 Obama in a state he lost by 3.
Read the entire story for yourself and tell me what you think?
That's my point of view, what's yours?