POSTED: Friday, March 28, 2014 - 11:56am
UPDATED: Friday, March 28, 2014 - 5:40pm
(KETK) - Tyler, Tx —
FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UPDATE:
As expected this morning, it has been very muggy and warm in East Texas. We have also been under a mostly cloudy sky as well with a few showers in the area. More scattered storms are on the way by this afternoon and evening. We are still watching the threat of strong storms this afternoon and into the evening.
A very unstable airmass is in place over our area, and as the upper level disturbance moves toward our area, storms will become more likely later today. Storms have already started to form in South-Central Texas along the dryline, and more are expected to develop.
Here’s what you can expect:
A Severe T-Storm Watch has been issued for our area. Current counties include: Anderson, Camp, Franklin, Henderson, Morris, Smith, Titus, Upshur, and Wood counties. This watch is in effect until 7PM tonight.
As we go through the afternoon and evening hours, the upper level disturbance will continue to move toward the East. This disturbance, along with the surface dryline and approaching cold front, will all combine together to produce storms this afternoon.
As that happens, showers and storms will ramp up a bit more. The RPM Model of the satellite shows breaks in the cloud cover and an intense increase in cumulonimbus clouds—which will indicate some strong thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Now, look at what happens by the late afternoon and evening. Stronger cumulonimbus clouds at 5PM, and that leads to stronger thunderstorms by the late afternoon and evening.
Our KETK Futurecast model is also depicting very heavy downpours by this evening as well.
Here is our severe risk for today. The main threats are damaging winds and hail, with a very isolated risk of tornadoes. These storms will be very fast movers—between 50-70 miles per hour, so expect periods of heavy rain, lots of lightning, and very strong winds embedded with these storms.
These storms will not be exiting the East Texas area until late this evening—between 8-11PM tonight—as the cold front approaches the region.
By tomorrow morning, we will wake up to much cooler and drier air into the region. High pressure will dominate our weather this weekend, and it will be a fantastic Saturday and Sunday.
The KETK Weather Team will be keeping you alert of the latest weather situation. Stay weather-aware today with our KETK Mobile App!