Watches & Warnings Warnings

Updated Weather Talk: More rain tonight through Wednesday

Updated Weather Talk: More rain tonight through Wednesday
MGN Online
Weather Talk

POSTED: Tuesday, May 13, 2014 - 10:00am

UPDATED: Friday, July 11, 2014 - 1:30pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update:

Looking at the newest model data and where the rainfall is currently, we won't see the rain until late tonight (after midnight).

The High Resolution Rapid Refresh model is showing the main rainfall in Central Texas by this late evening and moving into East Texas in the early hours of Wednesday.

We're not expecting significant rainfall amounts--between 0.25" and up to about an inch. Some flooding could take place in Deep East Texas where you received a lot of rain and where poor drainage of water occurs. We also cannot rule out an isolated thunderstorm, but severe weather is not expected.

The rain will continue to linger through at least the morning commute. But by the afternoon hours, skies should begin to clear and we will see a partly sunny afternoon. It will remain cool with temperatures in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.

Keep you updated. 

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Tuesday Early PM Update:

The Flash Flood Watch has been canceled for East Texas. See latest update and timing below in the Tuesday Morning Update.

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Tuesday Morning Update:

Good morning.

Wow! We had a lot of rain Monday night and this morning. Heavy rainfall occurred, producing flooding in some areas. Rainfall amounts have been 1-6”, with the higher amounts occurring in southern counties.

More rain will be headed toward East Texas as another upper air disturbance comes closer to us today.

First, the morning rain moving through our southern areas this morning will continue to move east the next several hours.

During the day, expect off and on light scattered showers in East Texas. The majority of the rainfall will be in southern and eastern counties.

By this evening, the upper level disturbance moves closer to East Texas. As this happens, more showers and a few thunderstorms will develop. Another round of moderate to heavy rain will be likely in our area with an additional 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain possible. This rain will continue through the morning Wednesday.

Temperatures today will hold steady in the middle and upper 50s with some low 60s. Make sure you have your coats today, because it will be cool and at times windy.

Finally, the Flash Flood Watch has been updated. The watch is for our eastern/southeastern counties until 4PM today.

We’ll continue to keep you updated.

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Monday Evening Update:

We’re tracking the rain headed for East Texas. As I mentioned on the air yesterday, most of the rain would hold off until late this afternoon and into this evening.

FIRST:

A flash flood watch is in effect for many counties in East Texas. For our western counties (Anderson, Henderson, Hopkins, Rains, & Van Zandt), your watch has now started and lasts until 5AM Tuesday. Houston county’s watch begins tonight at 7PM and lasts until 1PM Tuesday afternoon. For the rest of the area shaded in purple, the watch begins at 7PM tonight and will last until 4PM Tuesday afternoon. Rainfall totals will be between 3-5" with locally higher amounts in some areas. 

WHERE THE SHOWERS/STORMS ARE NOW?

In East Texas this afternoon, we have had a few scattered showers throughout the day—most of them producing rainfall less than a tenth of an inch.

The main line of storms is moving through Central Texas counties now. We will begin to see the widespread rain by early evening, beginning in our western/northwestern areas.

FORECAST

Rain will enter East Texas by 6PM this evening. Then, it will slowly move East/Northeast. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model has the rain moving in by 8PM to Smith county. Then, once the rain and storms are here, it will stick around through the overnight hours and into Tuesday.

Overnight, a cold front will be moving through East Texas. Despite the cold front passage, showers and thunderstorms will continue during the day on Tuesday. Tuesday morning will likely be a very difficult time with heavy showers and storms and possible flooding.

Below are the predictions from that model and our KETK Futurecast model overnight and into Tuesday morning.

We are looking at very heavy rain during the overnight and through Tuesday. Rainfall amounts will be close to 5 inches. This is a very tropical-like system and will dump plenty of rain in a short amount of time—which is why the Flash Flood Watch is in effect through tomorrow.

THE CAUSE OF THE RAIN/STORMS CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY?

Usually when a cold front moves through, the precipitation ends and drier air filters in. In this situation, we will have an overrunning event—meaning that the air above us will be warmer than the surface. Tuesday’s afternoon surface temperatures will be in the 50s with rain while at about 5,000 feet, temperatures will be near 60° Fahrenheit. That along with upper air disturbances will cause elevated thunderstorms to occur on Tuesday with more heavy rain possible.

If you have any flooding pictures or video, send them to us. There are multiple ways:

1. See It, Shoot It, Share It.
2. Email us: newsroom@ketknbc.com
3. Social Media: KETK on Facebook & Twitter

We will be keeping you updated with the latest information all evening and through the night.

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