Weather Talk: Forecast for July 4th

Weather Talk: Forecast for July 4th
MGN Online
Weather Talk

POSTED: Sunday, June 29, 2014 - 10:22pm

UPDATED: Monday, June 30, 2014 - 8:40am

Hello everyone. Leading up to July 4th, we want you to have the most accurate and up-to-date forecast so you can plan your day.

Each day, I will provide you with a detailed look at the Independence Day forecast. This will include the different forecast models we look at to make this forecast, as well as a projected daytime temperature and wind speed.

Here is Sunday’s edition of “The July Fourth Forecast”…


On Thursday, we look to have a good chance of showers and thunderstorms in East Texas as a cold front approaches. That front looks to stall over us Thursday into Friday, which means rain is possible on July 4th.

The GFS forecast model wants to show some light rain in our area by Friday morning, and as we go into the afternoon hours, scattered showers and storms look to develop in Deep East Texas.

The European forecast model has the precipitation on Friday, and it covers all of East Texas. This model says rain is likely during the afternoon and evening.


Temperatures by the afternoon look to be in the upper 80s and low 90s—very humid and muggy. Skies are projected to be partly to mostly cloudy, which might make it hard to fully enjoy fireworks Friday evening. Winds look to be out of the East between 5-10 mph.


With all this being said, the current forecast for Friday, July 4th is:

Partly to mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and storms, especially south of Tyler/Longview. Chance of rain at 20% and 30% for Deep East Texas. High: 91. Winds: E 5-10 mph.

I will provide another updated forecast Monday evening. Until then, you can follow me on Twitter and on Facebook for more exclusive updates.

For the latest forecast, visit the KETK Weather Page

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