Weather Talk: Warmer temperatures ahead but changes coming soon

Weather Talk: Warmer temperatures ahead but changes coming soon
Weather Talk
Thursday, July 10, 2014 - 6:23pm

Our East Texas temperatures the last few days have been very warm. There has been almost zero relief from the heat and humidity. Here are the high temperatures we’ve seen for Tyler, Longview, and Lufkin the past five days.

Unfortunately, we don’t have any rain chances until the middle part of next week. Get ready. It will be hot, but nowhere close to the very hot temperatures back in summer of 2011.

Here’s what will be happening in the atmosphere.

18,000 Feet

An area of high pressure will be in place over the Rocky Mountains and stretching to about the Red River. When high pressure is in place, it promotes sinking air. In essence, it squashes any rain chances and keeps us very warm and humid.

Surface Response

In response to what’s happening above our heads, temperatures will easily be in the middle to upper 90s this weekend—and I would not be surprised if a few areas in Deep East Texas get very close the 100° mark. The added heat and humidity will give us heat index values between 100°-110°. Winds will be out of the southwest at about 10 miles per hour through the weekend.


We get this question asked to our KETK Weather Team often. In my opinion, the answer is due to the soil temperatures. Soil temperatures are affected by the amount of rain we receive.


The upper level area of high pressure that will dominate our weather this weekend will retreat to the west. This will lead to a west/northwest flow in the upper levels.

With this setup, a strong cold front will move toward East Texas, and it will possibly lead to scattered showers and storms.

The GFS and European forecast models are already hinting at showers and storms by Tuesday afternoon and evening.

This is a significant blast of cooler air coming for the central and eastern half of the country. If this verifies, temperatures will be anywhere from 5-10 degrees below normal for daytime highs.

Here’s a look at temperatures on Wednesday across the country. East Texas will be in the middle to upper 80s.

We’ll keep you updated. For now expect some changes by mid-week, and hopefully it’ll lead to some good rain. For the latest forecast details, visit the KETK Weather page.

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