Weather Talk: Wednesday forecast for July 4th

Weather Talk: Wednesday forecast for July 4th
MGN Online
Weather Talk

POSTED: Wednesday, July 2, 2014 - 9:57pm

UPDATED: Wednesday, July 2, 2014 - 10:19pm

Rain remains in the forecast on Friday. Here is Wednesday’s edition of “The July Fourth Forecast”…


Yesterday, I mentioned the NAM forecast model was aggressive with the shower and storm activity. Today, the GFS is showing more aggressiveness. Here’s what I am talking about.

By Friday morning, the GFS depicts a few showers in East Texas.

By the early afternoon hours, the GFS model shows more scattered showers and storms developing, even as far north as Tyler/Longview. The NAM model keeps most of the precipitation just south of Tyler and specifically in Central Texas.

By late afternoon, the GFS and NAM models place most of the rain in Deep East Texas and Central Texas.

The RPM model puts the rain in South Central Texas and along the coast.

Rain still looks to remain possible in the evening hours, especially for southern areas.

Since the models are showing more widespread precipitation coverage, we will need to keep rain chances in the forecast for Friday.


High temperatures on Friday will be in the upper 80s and low 90s. It will remain very warm and humid. Wind speeds East/Southeast at 5-10 mph.


Models have increased the coverage of rain for East Texas today. With that being said, we are going to increase the rain chances to 30%-40% for the entire area. Scattered showers and storms will take place, especially in the afternoon hours. Most showers and storms will be ending by early evening, leaving many of us with a partly cloudy sky by fireworks time.

I’ll provide another update Thursday evening. Until then, I will post additional information about the rain chances from the late evening forecast models on my Facebook page and on Twitter. Follow me there for additional updates.

You can get the up-to-date forecast by visiting the KETK Weather Page.

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