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Weekend WX details & much cooler WX coming

Weekend WX details & much cooler WX coming
MGN Online
Weather Talk

POSTED: Thursday, September 4, 2014 - 5:26pm

UPDATED: Friday, September 5, 2014 - 1:40pm

Several Changes on The Way In Next 7-10 Days!

This week has been a hot and humid week for East Texas. We have been on above average for high temperatures the past five days. Here were the highs for Tyler. Today’s (Thursday) high temperature for Tyler has been 96°.

Our KETK Weather Team has been mentioning in the weather forecasts of a chance of rain this weekend with slightly lower temperatures. Let’s get you up to speed on what to expect.


It will be a hot and humid Friday as we begin the weekend. Temperatures look to climb to the middle 90s.

An upper level disturbance to the east is forecasted to move into Louisiana and close to Texas by Friday afternoon. This disturbance will trigger widely scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon hours.

The GFS model keeps most rain around us.

The NAM model tries to bring in rain and a few storms between 4PM and 7PM.

All in all on Friday, a few brief afternoon t-storms will be possible. Most games Friday night should be played without any weather-related problems.


Our focus will be on a cold front that is set to move in during the day Saturday. Here is the GFS/NAM position at 7AM Saturday.

As the front pushes toward ETX, we will see an increasing chance of rainfall ahead and along the front. The front looks to cross into the area beginning by the early afternoon hours.

Based off the models, the rainfall looks to be scattered during the day.

The RPM model shows a band of showers post-frontal by 3PM Saturday.

For Saturday, we can expect a mostly cloudy sky with area showers and storms.


On Sunday, a few showers remain possible, primarily over central and southern counties. The NAM paints this picture, and we could see temperatures in the middle 80s and low 90s for highs Sunday with a partly sunny sky.


These days look to be hot and humid. This might be our final shot at reaching 100 degrees before a major cold front moves in by Thursday. Highs these 3 days in the middle to upper 90s! Wednesday will be the best day for us to get very close to the century mark, but it does depend on how much rain we receive this weekend.


It is too early to talk in-depth details, but here’s what’s going on.

A cold front is expected to move in during the day on Thursday, September 11th. Showers and thunderstorms will be very likely along the cold front. Here is the national view of a strong cold front. Note the colder air behind the front.

Before the front (Wednesday), highs will be in the 90s. Behind the front (by Friday)—highs possibly in the 80s…and that is what the American GFS forecast model is calling for. The European, who has been advertising this for the past few days, has ETX with highs in the 70s for Friday and Saturday.
Saturday morning, check out the very cold air the GFS is predicting.

I will provide more details this weekend and the upcoming week, but a taste of Fall looks to be on the way for East Texas for the middle of September.

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